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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday August 29th, 2022.
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The Pirates take on the Brewers on Monday August 29th at American Family Field, Milwaukee. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
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The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this road contest vs Milwaukee with a below .500 record (48-79). In the NL Central division standings, the team ranks 5th. Heading into today’s game, the Pirates will look to pick up a win on the road, as they have gone just 22-43 when playing away from home. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 5-0. So far, Pittsburgh has won less than half of their series, going just 9-25-7.
The Pirates will send JT Brubaker to the mound with an overall record of 3-11. Against the Pirates, Brubaker is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.39. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .266 against him. In his 127 innings of work, Brubaker has given up 13 home runs. JT Brubaker takes the mound with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81. This has come while striking out 23.0% of the batters he’s faced.
Pittsburgh comes into this game averaging just 3.57 runs per game, placing them 28th in the MLB. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of -4. The Pirates combined batting average currently sits at .220, placing them 29th in the league. For the season, 34.6% of the team’s hits have been in the form of extra bases. In terms of home runs, Pittsburgh ranks 18th, averaging .98 home runs per contest. Leading into the game, the team’s slugging percentage is just .361. Up to this point, Pittsburgh has been getting on base at a rate of just .287, placing them 28th in all of baseball. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.9%.
The Milwaukee Brewers enter play ranked 2nd in the NL Central division, with an overall record of 67-59. In their 58 games at American Family Field, the Brewers have a strong record of 33-25. In their last game, Milwaukee picked up a 9-7 win over the Cubs. The team’s overall series record is above .500, sitting at 18-16-7.
Making the start for Milwaukee is Corbin Burnes, with an ERA of 2.84 across his 25 outings. In terms of WHIP, Corbin Burnes has one of the best marks in the league at just 0.96. So far, Corbin Burnes has a SLG% allowed .334, including giving up 17 home runs. Overall, Burnes has notched 190 strikeouts on a K rate of 31.0%. Thus far, Corbin Burnes has had problems with walks, averaging 2.48 BB/9.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.56 runs per game, good for 9th in the MLB. In the team’s 58 games at home, their run differential is -4. Together, the Brewers offense has the 22nd ranked batting average, at .236. This includes batting .321 over their last 3 games. Throughout the season, the team has been good in the power department, averaging 1.41 home runs per game, ranks 3rd. Milwaukee’s offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 11th with an OBP of .317. The team is generating walks at a rate of 9.4%.
Heading into today’s matchup between Pittsburgh and Milwaukee, the Brewers are the heavy favorite at -184 on the moneyline. Milwaukee’s implied win probability sits at 64.79%. Look for the Brewers to cover the runline at -1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Brewers Runline
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